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Article:
What to Believe, Surveys or Instinct?
This week’s
article arises from a recent conversation
whereby a small retail business owner
commented that, “I don’t buy on the
internet, neither do my friends, why should
I add ecommerce? I just want an information
website”.
I felt
compelled to point out that many small
businesses are continuing to transform their
key business processes and leverage the
internet for improving their business and
enhancing their competitive edge. They are
companies that have come to understand how
e-business is about improving customer
relationship management and implementing
other Internet business solutions (IBS) such
as ecommerce help them save money and expand
their business with new and existing
customers. A further minor point was that
GartnerG2, a research service that is part
of Gartner Inc., said that more than 77
million U.S. adults alone now buy products
online throughout the year.
Another
recently published survey indicated that
50.2 % of Canadian small businesses are
currently using or implementing IBS. A
further 20.3% intend to adopt IBS within the
next 3 years, while 28.4% have no intention
of adopting IBS. Interesting percentage of
slow or non-adopters, especially when you
consider the companies that adopted IBS have
realized substantial financial benefits. On
average, revenues increased by 7%, and costs
decreased by 9.5 % in the case of cost of
goods sold and 7.5 % for sales, general and
administrative costs. Furthermore,
satisfaction with IBS among adopters was
high.
Another reason
given by our small business owner to not
implement e-commerce was dealing with such
issues as customs and transportation. This
really is an issue of growth, sales volume
and expected profits. Do you want them? Yes
or no? Especially when the U.S. Department
of Commerce stated that the second-quarter
2002 US retail e-commerce sales were an
estimated $10.243 billion, an increase of
about 24 percent from the second quarter of
2001.
In fact,
BizRate.com is predicting online sales over
the holiday season to peak at $8 billion, a
24 percent increase over last year, bringing
in $16.9 billion for the entire fourth
quarter, which marks a 35 percent increase.
That’s a good sized pie just next door.
With the number
of online shoppers continuing to grow, U.S.
consumers are also spending more online,
thereby creating a healthy prognosis for
Internet retailers across the board and
resulting in falling customer acquisition
costs. According to Shop.org and the Boston
Consulting Group the average customer
acquisition cost per new customer has dipped
from a high of $38US in 1999 to $29US in
2000 to $14US in 2001. Retailers also
reduced expenses by reining-in marketing
costs, which fell from $26US per order in
1999 to $12US per order last year.
In fact, with
the exception of 2001 when spending dropped
to $866 from 2000's $969, the average annual
online expenditures among U.S. Internet
users (ages 14+) are expected to rise
steadily. BizRate.com forecasts $1,249US in
2003 and $1,400US for 2004.
That is just
the US market. What about Europe?
GartnerG2, forecasts that Europeans will
spend an estimated $15.77 billion over the
holiday season, topping North American
shoppers who are expected to shell out an
estimated $15.66 billion. Actually, Europe,
not North America, is expected to lead the
world in online holiday spending this
season, albeit not by much, says a new
Internet sales forecast. Why? Better sales
channel integration by retailers.
The gains in
Europe are being fueled by companies
integrating their mail order and Web
presence, using multiple channels, browsing
printed catalogs and then ordering online,
especially in the clothing, sports equipment
and toy industries.
What about the
rest of the world? GartnerG2 said that
worldwide online holiday sales in 2002 are
projected to total $38.2 billion, a 48.4
percent increase from the same period last
year. Figures exclude travel-related
purchases and movie and event ticket sales.
The research unit also predicts that the
Asia/Pacific area will be third in holiday
sales with $3.32 billion; followed by Japan
(broken out separately) at $1.93 billion,
with "every place else" coming in at $1.52
billion.
So, take a
survey of your instincts and compare
results. Establishing an ecommerce enabled
website may now make good business sense.
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John Shenton - November, 2002
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